Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1230.100827 1394.900355 1577.078226 1793.999558 2046.021457 2330.502791 2677.213205
2025-10-19 984.825468 1204.877262 1470.448200 1817.094178 2261.323381 2816.482766 3570.603385
2025-10-26 850.881000 1093.421082 1403.409159 1833.607032 2422.982710 3213.602345 4374.021742
2025-11-02 769.087582 1028.696238 1376.501474 1884.489864 2620.927368 3670.944768 5320.465079
2025-11-09 696.720809 963.567170 1335.490656 1902.831515 2766.374305 4065.020685 6232.167415
2025-11-16 636.619444 906.462066 1295.823642 1913.076091 2894.511664 4443.594210 7176.656245
2025-11-23 589.367634 861.557608 1266.863537 1932.483584 3034.517775 4854.646262 8240.523039
2025-11-30 552.533579 827.611446 1249.372617 1965.330250 3196.989770 5321.456619 9481.840258
2025-12-07 502.830066 768.489915 1185.832665 1914.216201 3208.481462 5525.215232 10268.165333
2025-12-14 459.593726 715.443076 1126.421662 1862.285323 3209.784258 5707.094833 11039.682342
2025-12-21 420.227896 665.151755 1066.624431 1802.495130 3187.897787 5839.715862 11730.723330
2025-12-28 406.571427 656.123059 1074.956900 1864.054081 3399.227743 6453.209199 13569.535040
2026-01-04 386.945910 636.089892 1063.796018 1891.248614 3553.182833 6986.682262 15375.819749
2026-01-11 367.933183 615.615237 1050.136962 1912.587617 3699.447862 7530.792791 17344.305433
2026-01-18 350.291541 595.932542 1035.801706 1930.405806 3839.879014 8083.941638 19468.475070
2026-01-25 338.990887 586.646523 1039.592917 1984.373352 4064.640073 8866.860987 22399.630084
2026-02-01 324.264353 569.779112 1027.380432 2003.843014 4215.376805 9500.741226 25091.025683
2026-02-08 309.752692 552.129661 1012.004016 2014.716620 4347.659847 10112.341297 27889.500719
2026-02-15 297.471643 537.758174 1001.749126 2035.317711 4505.550044 10817.944660 31185.603977
2026-02-22 287.573501 527.224704 998.204162 2070.188758 4702.980557 11665.709231 35208.495799
2026-03-01 269.607118 499.476158 957.192053 2015.926816 4670.059351 11874.381339 37124.186746
2026-03-08 252.979043 473.310691 917.505213 1960.811252 4627.926333 12050.646130 38985.859345
2026-03-15 236.850186 447.144568 875.944352 1897.371675 4556.179903 12129.638354 40521.974650